Summary: as part of our new 'Broadband End-Games'
report, we’ve been defining in detail the opportunities for telcos to
distribute 3rd party content and digital goods in new ways.Introduction
Telecoms
operators have traditionally retailed their services to consumers,
businesses, not-for-profit and public sector organisations. Carriers
have also resold services to other operators as wholesale services
(including regulated services such as interconnection).
At the
Telco 2.0 initiative, we have long argued that there is an opportunity
for telecoms operators to develop a new “2-sided” revenue stream,
broadly divided into B2B VAS platform revenues and Distribution
revenues. These services enable third party organisations in multiple
vertical sectors to become much more effective and efficient in their
everyday interactions and business processes. We have valued the
potential to Telco’s’ at 20% of additional growth on core revenues in
ten years’ time.... if they take-up the opportunity.
Figure 1: 2-sided business model framework
As
Telco 2.0 concepts gain acceptance, we are being asked by operators to
provide greater detail on both the B2B VAS Platform and Distribution
opportunities. Operators are looking to quantify these in specific
geographies. To this end, we have described the B2B VAS platform
opportunity extensively, in particular in the
2-sided Business Model
Platform Opportunity strategy report.
Also, we have modelled
Distribution revenues for fixed and mobile broadband distribution and
provided detailed commentary in our strategy report on
Future Broadband
Business Models. We have extended this work to cover Distribution using
narrowband, voice and messaging. This Analyst Note provides a synthesis
of this modelling work and an updated description of the Distribution
revenue opportunity. A forthcoming Analyst Note will cover Sizing the
2-sided Distribution Opportunity for Telco.
Defining 2-sided distribution
Telecoms,
historically focused on providing interpersonal communications, has
increasingly become an electronic transport and delivery business. In
defining the “distribution” element of 2-sided business opportunity, we
highlight four criteria:
- The distribution service is
essentially concerned with moving electronic data from one location to
another. Distribution revenues relate to this alone. The terms
‘upstream’ provider and ‘downstream’ customer relate to the commercial
relationship and not to the flow of data. Distribution services can
apply to moving data in either or both directions.
- The
service may include an ‘above-standard’ technical specification and
quality of service to meet specific performance requirements, generally
associated with the nature of the application for which the data is
being sent.
- The service is being paid for by the upstream third-party provider, but is often initiated by the downstream customer.
- The
distribution service is a minor telecoms component of the primary
non-telecoms service or goods being accessed by the downstream user.
Mostly, the distribution service is enabling interaction between the
upstream third-party provider and downstream customer. For example, a
Kindle user is paying Amazon for an e-book that is delivered over a
network. Amazon pays the telecoms operator (in the US, this was Sprint
and is now AT&T) for the delivery of the e-book (the main
non-telecoms product).
This last criterion makes a
distinction between two-sided distribution and wholesale telecoms (and
carrier interconnection). This is a key distinction, as it highlights
an underlying industry-level difference in business model and a move
away from a closed Telco system to a more open platform. Operators that
do not significantly compete in the same retail market as their
wholesale customer(s) may not consider this distinction important. This
is because they do not consider their wholesale customer(s) to be
competition, but rather a channel. However, wholesale customers nearly
always compete at some level. Furthermore, this is missing a key point:
2-sided distribution is about “growing the pie” for Telco whereas
growing wholesale in a mature market, generally results in “shrinking
the pie”.
There is a “grey area” between 2-sided distribution
and carrier wholesale. Offloading mobile broadband onto fixed broadband
networks is an example of Wholesale2.0, since it is primarily an
inter-carrier arrangement intended to reduce mobile network costs. In
most cases however, it is still possible to make a clear distinction,
as illustrated in the final two examples in Figure 2.
Figure 2: Examples of 2-sided Telco distribution
Example
|
Description
|
Comment
|
Freephone
|
Callers use freephone services to access goods or
services from upstream third-party provider.
Although they could achieve this through a retail call, the upstream
third-party provider pays for the freephone call as part of their overall
proposition around their main service
or product, which the downstream customer is ultimately accessing.
|
The actual freephone call
charges (excluding ‘B2B VAS platform' charges for number provisioning, directory
listing, or any inbound call handling features) are Telco distribution
revenue because they relate to enabling an interaction (by carrying a voice
conversation) that has been initiated by the downstream party, but paid for
by the upstream third-party party in order to deliver something else. This ‘something else' main service could be
booking a flight, ordering a pizza, calling the army recruitment centre or
enquiring about installing loft insulation.
|
Premium
SMS (carriage-only)
|
A premium SMS is a service offered by Telcos to upstream
third-party providers that enables them to provide a service or goods to
downstream users. Although the telco
may be billing for this, it is not the Telco's service that the end user is
buying. This is therefore not retail (one-sided) revenue, unless the Telco is
also the upstream third-party content provider.
|
Premium services include a
host of B2B VAS services (notably payment and collection). The charges levied by Telcos therefore
include a combination of distribution and B2B VAS. The distribution element relates to the
pure SMS transport (carriage only) at normal bulk rates, not the full or even
net SMS revenues.
|
TwitterPeek
|
TwitterPeek is a dedicated device offered by
Twitter through Amazon, which gives users unlimited access to their Twitter
account and the associated functions (Send Tweets, subscribe to others'
Tweets, Retweet, search Tweets, etc..
The service costs $99 for six months followed by $7 a month. There is also a $199 option for lifetime use.
|
In this example, the main
service is Twitter. The connectivity
service that supports TwitterPeek, is considered to be 2-sided distribution
rather than wholesale because it does not directly compete with any core telco
communications offering.
|
Breaking down the opportunity
At its highest level,
we have broken the types of distribution into wired or wireless. This
distinction is partly technical (as it reflects the underlying
network). It is also related to business model and regulatory regime
(eg Net Neutrality, different rules & structures on interconnection
and wholesale). Telecoms operators also still tend to be organised
along these lines. Below this, we have grouped the main distribution
opportunities into Voice, Messaging, Narrowband and Broadband. Again,
this reflects typical Telco product line divisions. Below this, there
are two broad types of distribution opportunities...
To read the full article, covering...
- Breakdown of the types of distribution opportunities
- Detail of the types by Wired / Wireless
- Fixed and Mobile 0800
& Premium
- Fixed
Broadband ‘slice & dice’
- Fixed
Broadband ‘comes with’
- Mobile
Broadband ‘slice & dice’
- Dedicated Broadband Device ‘comes with’
- Narrowband M2M
- Application-specific
narrowband devices
- Application-specific messaging devices
- Bulk SMS / MMS, Short codes, Free
and Premium SMS
- Detailed potential Fixed and Mobile 'Slice and Dice' examples
- Conclusions and recommendations
...
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