Best Practice Innovation, ‘Telco 2.0' Opportunities, Forecasts and Future Scenarios

Summary:  a new 249 page Telco 2.0 Strategy Report on the future of broadband, including analysis of the latest new ideas in broadband business model innovation, new 'Telco 2.0' Opportunities, global forecasts, four future strategic scenarios, and a detailed 'Use Case' describing a new Managed Offload 'Use Case'.  (March 2010, Future Networks Stream)

The report covers: Best practice innovation, and detailed assessment of ‘Telco 2.0' opportunities, in Mobile Broadband, Advanced New Wholesale, and Fixed Retail Broadband Business Models Four scenarios for broadband market players: ‘Telco 2.0 Player', ‘Happy Piper', ‘Device Specialist', and ‘Government Department' Telco 2.0's forecasts for the Broadband Access market An advanced and detailed ‘Use Case' for a specific Telco 2.0 Opportunity, ‘Managed Offload of Mobile Broadband to Fixed Networks' Conclusions and recommendations for Telcos and other Broadband Service providers (BSPs) and their partners

The report is a 'must read' for CxOs, strategists and broadband product managers seeking to develop their business strategies and position their products, both within Telcos and BSPs and for the community of business partners and vendors.

   

This report is now availalable to members of our Future Networks Stream. Below is an introductory extract and list of contents from this 249 page strategy Report that can be downloaded in full in PDF format by members of the Future Networks Stream here. 

For more on any of these services, please email  / call +44 (0) 207 247 5003 

Report Details

• 249 pages
• 90 charts, tables and forecasts
• Manuscript format
• Detailed outline and contents below
• Published: 25th March 2010

The rest of this page contains:

• Overview and Report Content       
• Who is the report for?
• Contents, Figures and Forecasts
• Downloads (Table of Contents, PDF Version of this Page)
• Fit with other Broadband Reports

Report Overview & Content

Introduction

Broadband continues to grow in both market penetration and sophistication, with the addition of fibre and mobile access as key enablers.

Figure 1. Global broadband access lines, 2000-2020

Source: Telco 2.0 Mobile and Fixed Future Broadband Business Models

However, while speeds and mobility are improving, there are complex challenges to the business model for service providers. These include:

• Maturing products and business models
• Convergence of fixed and mobile technology and product offerings
• Greater state intervention in deploying and controlling broadband access
• A more complex broadband ecosystem
• New consumer behaviour and higher expectations

See here for an extract from the overview of the report on the main themes and challenges that it addresses. Among these challenges are:

• What are the realistic prospects for non-subscription models for fixed and mobile broadband, such as prepaid / transactional / free / "comes with data", bundled with device purchase, "sliced and diced", etc.?
• A critical analysis of whether operators can charge content / Internet companies for access to 'their pipes', and in what circumstances this may be commercially and operationally feasible.
• What is the changing role of Government in the broadband marketplace?
• Is Mobile Broadband substitional or synergistic with Fixed?

Overall, new business models will be necessary to help justify extra infrastructure investment as end-user spending on broadband access reaches market saturation.



The report covers the impact of key factors such as DPI, QoS. Net Neutrality, LTE, Fibre, IPTV, Video demand, mobile broadband, convergence, LLU, MVNOs, Machine-to-Machine, Cloud Computing, and regulation. It explores both developed and developing markets.

Broadband Best Practice Innovation and ‘Telco 2.0' Opportunities

Following the introduction and market overview, the report contains chapters of detailed analysis of best practice innovation (e.g. pricing, propositions, technologies, etc.) and ‘Telco 2.0' new business model opportunities in:

• Fixed Retail Broadband
• Mobile Retail Broadband
• Advanced Wholesale Broadband business models.

The ‘Telco 2.0' propositions are based on the 'two-sided' telecoms business model theory that broadband capacity can sold to "upstream" media or application providers. The report examines theoretical use cases and some compelling potential business models.



(NB. Further detail on the ‘two-sided' telecoms business model can be found here.)

‘Managed Mobile Offload' Use Case

Taking one of the specific opportunities identified, the report details a ‘Use Case' for offloading excess mobile traffic to fixed operators. This represents a wholesale opportunity for fixed BSPs and an opportunity for Mobile BSPs to manage the rising costs of carrying large volumes of (primarily video) data traffic.

Future Scenarios

The report describes four possible scenarios for broadband service providers and the benefits and risks of pursuing each strategy.

Forecasts and Conclusions

The report is completed by global forecasts for each of the core business models for broadband service providers (detailed below), conclusions, and an overview of the relative attractiveness of the scenarios.

Who is the report for?

Telecoms Operators' and other Broadband Service Providers':

• Strategy departments
• Central research libraries & market research functions
• CTO office, Strategic Marketing, Business Development
• Wholesale Departments
• Government & Regulatory Affairs depts
• Network architects & planners
• Broadband services marketing departments (fixed, cable and mobile)

Vendor audiences:

• Marketing / business development / strategy functions
• Fixed broadband access equipment vendors
• Wireless network radio & transport vendors
• IP core suppliers
• Fixed-broadband terminal suppliers
• Mobile broadband device suppliers
• Policy management, DPI & control specialists
• Billing & OSS suppliers
• Silicon and "enabler" providers

Regulators and other Government departments

Investors

Consultants & integrators

Report Contents

Executive Summary

Part 1: Background to the Broadband Industry

• Market adoption of broadband and the four scenarios
• Fibre and next-generation access: the missing business model
• Video: killer app, or network-killer?
• Mobile broadband: Hype & realism
• Convergence of fixed / mobile broadband
• Evolving regulation: help or hindrance?
• Government & ‘National Broadband'
• Broadband in the developing world
• The vendor landscape

Part 2: Fixed retail broadband business models

• Retail broadband scenario options
• Cable vs ADSL vs Fibre - same models, or fundamentally different?
• Pricing options: capping and tiering, application-specific caps and tiers, specific zero-rated / unmetered sites & services
• Video: providers: the power-brokers? Triple-play / IPTV.
• Incremental services, cross-network Internet services, prepay fixed broadband    
• Fibre
• Future value-add services? Smart grids, telemedicine and ‘The Cloud'
• The impact of local-loop unbundling and structural separation

Part 3: Mobile Broadband Retail Business Models

• Mobile broadband computing
• Smartphone business models
• M2M broadband business models
• Do revenues reflect costs?
• Wholesale mobile broadband and MVNOs
• Enablers and technologies

Part 4: Advanced broadband wholesale business models

• Bulk broadband wholesale models
• Creating next-gen wholesale
• Telco-Telco wholesale 2.0
• Broadband capacity ‘slice and dice'
• Marketing & selling wholesale

Part 5: Use Case: Managed Offload of Mobile Broadband

Part 6: Forecasts and Conclusions

A full table of contents and figures can be downloaded here.

This report is now availalable to members of our Future Networks Stream. Below is an introductory extract and list of contents from this 249 page strategy Report that can be downloaded in full in PDF format by members of the Future Networks Stream here. 

For more on any of these services, please email  / call +44 (0) 207 247 5003 

Key Figures and Forecasts

• Global broadband access lines, 2000-2020
• Global broadband access lines by technology, 2005-10
• Global fixed broadband by region, mid-2009
• Global broadband traffic          
• Ultra-fast broadband availability in developed markets
• Global mobile broadband computing users
• Examples of government broadband-related stimulus plans
• How uptake of broadband impacts GDP
• Global fixed broadband lines
• Wholesale within global fixed broadband, 2010
• The Global Online Video Market ($Billions)
• European fibre penetration forecast 2013
• Mobile broadband active user base
• Global 3G data traffic by device type, mid-2009
• Global mobile broadband computing users
• Vodafone UK mobile broadband pricing trends
• Traffic volumes for mobile broadband vs. revenues
• Fixed and mobile broadband wholesale revenues
• Global mobile broadband computing subscribers
• Forecast broadband wholesale revenues by category
• Global retail broadband subscribers 2005-2020
• Global average retail charges for broadband 2005-2020
• Broadband Retail Market Value 2005-2020
• Percentage of broadband lines supplied via bulk wholesale 2005-2020
• Average global wholesale prices 2005-2020
• Global bulk wholesale access market 2005-2020
• Global slice-and-dice revenues per line 2005-2020
• Global slice-and-dice incremental wholesale access revenues 2005-2020
• Global active users of broadband without a subscription 2005-2010
• Active broadband users including ‘comes with data'
• Global non-subscription upstream revenues per user per year 2005-2020
• Global ‘comes with data' broadband access 2005-2020
• Global wholesale revenues 2005-2020
• Global broadband access market 2005-2020
• Breakdown of global wholesale revenues 2005-2020

Downloads

• A full table of contents and figures in PDF format can be downloaded here.
• A PDF version of this page in full can be downloaded by our Future Networks Stream Subscribers here.

Fit with other Telco 2.0 Broadband Reports

This report is one of the Future Broadband Business Models Report Series of in-depth analyses of the Broadband market.

Companion Reports:

• "Beyond bundling: winning the new $250Bn delivery game" examines the structural opportunities and potential technical strategies for the next 10 years, including the more infrastructure-oriented aspects of wholesale such as IP data transit, renting-out of fibre/towers and local-loop unbundling, and identifies an overall $250Bn opportunity over this period.
• "The impact of video on broadband business models" analyses the development of online video, identifies possible market winners and losers, and sets out three interlocking scenarios depicting the evolution of the market. In each scenario, the role of Broadband Service Providers is examined, possible threats and opportunities revealed, and strategic options are discussed.

This report is now availalable to members of our Future Networks Stream. Below is an introductory extract and list of contents from this 249 page strategy Report that can be downloaded in full in PDF format by members of the Future Networks Stream here. 

For more on any of these services, please email  / call +44 (0) 207 247 5003